Archive

Archive for September, 2009

WSJ: China Govt PMI Shows Mfg Recovery On Track For 7th Mo

September 30th, 2009

Where is the demand to absorb the excess capacity?  This production is leading to dumping which will lead to more conflicts in trade.
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090930-718755.html

George Baxter stats

Businessweek: China’s Unreliable Economic Statistics

September 30th, 2009

I thought this was great.  My favorite quote from a Chinese statistician was: “I can rearrange the stars in the sky above because I have statistics.”
 
http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/sep2009/gb20090928_194572.htm

George Baxter stats

WSJ: Idle Factories Still Restraining China’s Investment, Inflation

September 29th, 2009

Without constant stimulis Chinese excess capacity will likley continue to weigh on prices.
 
http://blogs.wsj.com/chinajournal/2009/09/25/idle-factories-still-restraining-china%e2%80%99s-investment-inflation/?mod=rss_WSJBlog?mod=chinablog

George Baxter Capacity, Commodities, Consumption, Stimulis , ,

WSJ:China Inc. Looks Homeward as U.S. Shoppers Turn Frugal

September 29th, 2009

This article is illustrative of what will prove to be a very long process of China reforming its economy to be more self sufficient by selling Chinese manufactured goods to Chinese consumers.  They have a long way to go and I doubt they will have sufficient consumption to absorb their excess capacity for years to [...]

George Baxter Consumption ,

CNBC: China Launches Probe into US Chicken Imports

September 27th, 2009

The initial battles of the trade war continue after the G-20.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/33042119

George Baxter Uncategorized

FT: Interview with Hugh Hendry regarding China

September 25th, 2009

Hendry captures the sentiment regarding Chinese capacity and demand.
http://www.ft.com/cms/893ac9c8-757e-11dc-b7cb-0000779fd2ac.html?_i_referralObject=6506752&fromSearch=n

George Baxter Uncategorized

US Outsourcing Unemployment to China

September 25th, 2009

The Chinese have built capacity for a world in which the US has an ever growing ability to consume more.   With their stimulus efforts they have added to that capacity.   Once the government directed investment in capacity has been exhausted deflationary pressures should mount.

George Baxter Capacity, trade, video interview

CNBC: EU Slaps Anti-Dumping Duty on China Aluminum Foil

September 24th, 2009

Seems that the EU is also reacting to the Chinese attempt to export the product of their excess capacity.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/33014576

George Baxter Uncategorized

WSJ: Paper Is Next Front in China Trade Fight

September 24th, 2009

This is more evidence that the Chinese are building out capacity and trying to export the product of that capacity.  I think a trade war is inevitable given the structure of the Chinese stimulus and lending initiative.
 
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125375168190335985.html#mod%3DWSJ_hpp_LEFTTopStories%26project%3DG20-090923%26articleTabs%3Darticle

George Baxter Uncategorized

Bloomberg: China Stimulus Delays Economy Restructuring, ADB Says

September 22nd, 2009

Recognition of the Chinese expenditures in investment as leading to pressures on consumption growth is becoming more widely accepted. 
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601068&sid=aKNJbNHyc9oI

George Baxter Uncategorized