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Archive for the ‘stats’ Category

WSJ: China Govt PMI Shows Mfg Recovery On Track For 7th Mo

September 30th, 2009

Where is the demand to absorb the excess capacity?  This production is leading to dumping which will lead to more conflicts in trade.
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20090930-718755.html

George Baxter stats

Businessweek: China’s Unreliable Economic Statistics

September 30th, 2009

I thought this was great.  My favorite quote from a Chinese statistician was: “I can rearrange the stars in the sky above because I have statistics.”
 
http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/sep2009/gb20090928_194572.htm

George Baxter stats

Summary of Chinese data release on Sept. 11

September 12th, 2009

To summarize the Chinese official data released on Friday Sept. 11:
 The Good

Manufacturing output: up by 12.3% year on year, better than last month’s 10.8% and higher than consensus. 
Steel output: up 29%
Auto production: up 90%.
Urban fixed-asset investment: up 33.0% for the first eight months of the year, which slightly exceeded already-high estimates of 32.5%.
Retail sales: up [...]

George Baxter Bank Lending, Consumption, Stimulis, stats , , , , , , , , ,

Bloomberg: China’s Recovery Strengthens as Production, New Lending Advance

September 10th, 2009

I think this article really illustrates the loonacy of Chinese economic statistics.  
Factory production up:
“Output at the nation’s factories gained 12.3 percent from a year earlier, the most since August 2008, the statistics bureau said in Beijing today. Local-currency new loans were 410.4 billion yuan ($60 billion), up from 355.9 billion yuan in July, the central [...]

George Baxter stats

CNBC uncharacteristically posts a hint of doubt: Jim Chanos

September 10th, 2009

Jim Chanos, who is in the attached post has been shorting Chinese infrastructure plays on the basis that China is building out additional capacity for a world dominated by US consumption that no longer exists.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1246874316&play=1

George Baxter Capacity, stats, video interview , ,