September trade data may be somewhat misleading because of two or three extra working days last month, plus the very big holiday at the beginning of October which might have pushed activity into September.
Exports were down 15.2% year-on-year, better than the expected 20-21%.
Imports were down 3.5%, much better than the expected 15%.
Month-over-month figures showed a [...]
George Baxter Bank Lending, Capacity, Commodities, Stimulis, trade Capacity, exports, imports, steel, stim, Stimulis, trade
Without constant stimulis Chinese excess capacity will likley continue to weigh on prices.
http://blogs.wsj.com/chinajournal/2009/09/25/idle-factories-still-restraining-china%e2%80%99s-investment-inflation/?mod=rss_WSJBlog?mod=chinablog
George Baxter Capacity, Commodities, Consumption, Stimulis Capacity, Commodities, Stimulis
Despite the bullishness in equities Chinese Steel prices have been falling.
http://www.businessinsider.com/way-better-than-the-bdi-watch-chinese-iron-ore-demand-falling-2009-9
George Baxter Capacity, Commodities Capacity, steel
This article ties well with the one I posted with respect to US steel tariffs. It seems that that Chinese stimulus has resulted in massive steel production which is being dumped around the world. They have invested in excess capacity and goods for export. This excess steel production is crowding out local producers who are [...]
George Baxter Capacity, Commodities Capacity, Commodities, exports, imports, steel, tariffs
Jim Chanos, who is in the attached post has been shorting Chinese infrastructure plays on the basis that China is building out additional capacity for a world dominated by US consumption that no longer exists.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1246874316&play=1
George Baxter Capacity, stats, video interview Capacity, Jim Chanos, stats